China's foreign trade has not changed

Recently, the import and export data of China has caused concern. After recovering in the first half of the year, the import and export volume in July and August came back down. Part of the view is that it is overoptimistic, and then negative. Experts point out that the fluctuation of foreign trade data should be analyzed rationally, neither blindly optimistic nor necessarily excessively negative. With the domestic and international situation, it is not difficult to see that the positive momentum of China's foreign trade will be further consolidated and the structural changes will become more obvious. In the future, we should seize the opportunity to improve the foreign trade and achieve normal growth.PP anti-UV yarn

Rational view of data fluctuations

China's imports and exports totaled 17.83 trillion yuan in the first eight months of this year, up 17.1 percent year-on-year, according to the latest data from the general administration of customs. Among them, exports were 9.85 trillion yuan, up 13%. Imports were 7.98 trillion yuan, up 22.5%. In August, the total value of imports and exports, exports and imports grew by 10.1%, 6.9% and 14.4% respectively. After July, import and export growth showed a continuous decline.PP anti-UV yarn

Xu hongcai, deputy chief economist of the China center for international economic exchange, told reporters in an interview that the current data decline is mainly influenced by two factors: first, the initial base effect. China's foreign trade and imports began to improve in the second half of last year, and the rise in the base caused the year-on-year growth rate to decline since July. Second, the RMB appreciation factor. The yuan has appreciated about 6 percent against the dollar so far this year, which has affected changes in the import and export data in yuan terms.

Excluding the effects of these fluctuations, China's foreign trade and exports have achieved steady and rapid growth this year, and its growth rate is well beyond the 6.9 percent growth rate in the first half of the year. According to the survey, in August, the index of export managers' confidence rose 0.3 percent, while the overall cost index for exporters fell 0.6 percent.PP anti-UV yarn

Xu hongcai believes that the recovery of import and export in the first half of the year is affected by some accidental factors, but overall, the trend of China's foreign trade recovery is the result of the combination of internal and external factors. Therefore, the fluctuations of foreign trade data should be viewed rationally, neither blindly optimistic nor excessively pessimistic about future trends.

The momentum is still consolidating

Compared with the fluctuation of total volume growth, the optimization of China's foreign trade structure and the transformation of dynamics are more noteworthy. China's foreign trade is showing positive changes in various aspects, the ministry of commerce's press spokesman said yesterday.PP anti-UV yarn

From the perspective of commodity structure, the export of mechanical and electrical products in China was 5.63 trillion yuan from January to August this year, up 13.4%, accounting for 57.1%. Among them, exports of cars, computers and components, ships and mobile phones rose by up to 28 per cent. At the same time, the export of the seven categories of traditional labor-intensive industries, such as textile and clothing, also maintained a fast growth rate of 10%. From the perspective of foreign trade, cross-border e-commerce, market procurement and other new forms of export growth are significantly faster than the overall growth rate. From the subject of foreign trade, the export growth rate of private enterprises is 15.4%, which is faster than that of state-owned enterprises and foreign-funded enterprises, and the proportion of the total export value is increased to 46.9%.

"Strive to cultivate a large number of enterprises with technology, brand, quality, service, standard as the core of the new foreign trade competitive advantage, the enterprise to enhance innovation capacity and international competitiveness, product value and brand influence to further improve." The summit said.PP anti-UV yarn

Xu hongcai believes that the current foreign trade in China encourages the "optimization and optimization", which can both promote the transformation and upgrading of domestic industries and promote the adjustment and optimization of foreign trade structure. Bai Ming, deputy director of the international market research institute of the ministry of commerce, said the overall global market is warming, and the transformation and upgrading of China's foreign trade enterprises is accelerating. Therefore, in a long period of time, the trend of China's foreign trade stability will not change.

Foreign trade growth is becoming the norm

Experts generally believe that China's foreign trade growth will face the process of "normalizing" from "recovery" to "recovery" as the RMB exchange rate appreciates and the base is weakened.PP anti-UV yarn

In the first place, bai Ming pointed out, this kind of "normal" is first from international environmental improvement. In the event of an overall pick-up in international demand, major international organizations have raised their expectations for world economic growth. The international monetary fund's forecast for the global economy grew at a three-year high of 3.5 percent. Industry insiders believe that China's foreign trade should seize the favorable "window period" of the global economic recovery and accelerate the "recovery dividend" of the international market.

China's foreign trade is also ushering in an open innovation. At present, China has signed and implemented more than 10 free trade agreements with asean, New Zealand and Singapore. A new batch of seven free trade zones has been established this year; The pilot of the new open economic system has also completed the mid-term evaluation.

Xu said that expanding the pilot free trade zone and implementing the pre-establishment national treatment and negative list system will further promote trade and investment facilitation, thus enhancing the competitiveness of China's foreign trade. In the future, China's foreign trade should find the swimmer, should not only rely on overseas investment and attracting foreign investment "walking on two legs", capital flows to stimulate the flow of goods and personnel factors into the outflow of foreign trade; Also want to find accurate position in the new division of labor system, the use of cross-border new platforms such as electricity, accurately grasp the international market demand, at the same time promote online, logistics, financial services value chain integration, such as import and export trade.PP anti-UV yarn